Week 12 Betting Insights: Low Scoring Anticipated for Boise State and UCF
As Week 12 of the college football season progresses, analysts predict that points may be hard to come by for several teams, particularly the Boise State Broncos, UCF Knights, and TCU Horned Frogs. The upcoming matchups highlight a mix of defensive strengths and offensive struggles, leading to expectations of low-scoring games.
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
In a critical matchup, the Boise State Broncos will face off against the San Diego State Aztecs. Bettors are advised to consider the Broncos’ team total under 19.5 points. Since quarterback Max Cutforth took the helm, the offense has faltered, averaging only 4.4 yards per attempt and a completion rate of 51%. This performance has significantly limited their scoring potential, forcing the team to rely heavily on their run game and short-field opportunities.
The Aztecs’ defense has been formidable at home, allowing just 31 points across their last four games, with three opponents scoring fewer than eight points. The Broncos’ offensive line has also struggled, surrendering 18 sacks this season. This game marks a significant challenge for Boise State, especially as San Diego State’s defense excels at stifling offenses and controlling the pace of the game.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Kennesaw State Owls
In another intriguing matchup, the Jacksonville State Gamecocks are set to take on the Kennesaw State Owls. The recommendation here is to back Jacksonville State at +3.5. The Gamecocks have established a powerful ground game, averaging 252 rushing yards per game with a solid 5.2 yards per carry. Running back Cam Cook has been a standout performer, complemented by the mobility of quarterback Caden Creel.
Jacksonville State’s offensive strategy focuses on maintaining possession and wearing down defenses, a style that may exploit Kennesaw State’s vulnerabilities against run-heavy attacks. If bettors are willing to embrace a bit more risk, the Gamecocks’ money line at +140 could prove enticing, especially given their potential for an outright win.
UCF Knights vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
The UCF Knights will clash with the No. 6 Texas Tech Red Raiders, where a significant underperformance is anticipated from UCF, leading to a suggested team total under 10.5 points. The Knights have struggled offensively, averaging merely 11.3 points per game in conference play when on the road. This has been exacerbated by their inability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly in the red zone.
Texas Tech’s defense, spearheaded by players like David Bailey and Romello Height, ranks among the best in the nation for pressure and sacks. UCF’s offensive line has proven inadequate in handling such pressure, contributing to their subpar third-down conversion rate of just 32%. The combination of these factors paints a bleak picture for the Knights’ scoring chances in this matchup.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougars
In a matchup between the TCU Horned Frogs and the No. 12 BYU Cougars, analysts suggest a team total under 23.5 for TCU. BYU’s defensive strategy revolves around minimizing possessions, forcing opponents into difficult scoring scenarios. While TCU has shown offensive flashes, their efficiency away from home has been questionable, making it challenging to expect them to break the 24-point threshold.
With BYU’s defense creating turnovers and maintaining a positive turnover ratio, TCU must rely on efficiency to score. The Cougars’ ability to control the game tempo with their rushing attack further complicates TCU’s chances for a high-scoring performance.
As the week unfolds, the betting landscape is shaping up to favor underplays in these matchups, driven by strong defensive units and struggling offenses. Bettors should carefully consider these insights when placing their wagers.
