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Elon Musk’s xAI Partners with Kalshi to Launch Prediction Markets

Elon Musk’s xAI Partners with Kalshi to Launch Prediction Markets
Editorial
  • PublishedJuly 29, 2025

BREAKING: Elon Musk’s xAI has just announced a groundbreaking partnership with Kalshi, an innovative U.S.-based prediction markets platform. This collaboration brings Musk’s AI chatbot, Grok, into the realm of real-time betting on significant global events, marking a dramatic shift in how predictions are made and understood.

The deal, revealed on October 15, 2023, aims to provide users with enhanced insights into market trends and price fluctuations as they engage in betting on various outcomes. Kalshi’s CEO, Tarek Mansour, stated that Grok will help users navigate the complexities of betting odds, reinforcing a growing trend in predictive analytics that Musk strongly endorses.

Prediction markets are gaining traction as platforms where users wager on everything from political elections to celebrity happenings. Supporters argue these markets leverage the collective intelligence of participants, thereby offering more accurate predictions than traditional polls. Musk himself has advocated for their efficacy, asserting, “People don’t lie when their money is involved.”

The announcement follows a significant investment in Kalshi, which had recently gained media attention for its AI-generated commercial aired during the NBA Finals. This is xAI’s second move into the prediction market space in just two months, following a similar partnership with Polymarket, a key competitor of Kalshi.

Kalshi reported that over $7 million was wagered earlier this week on various outcomes, highlighting the platform’s increasing popularity. The market buzz includes speculation surrounding Astronomer CEO Andy Byron’s potential resignation after a viral incident, showcasing the broad range of events that can be bet on.

While Kalshi is excited about the potential of this partnership, they have not addressed Grok’s previous controversies, which include allegations of antisemitic content. In an official statement, Kalshi expressed, “Kalshi’s feelings about the partnership are excitement only,” signaling their commitment to moving forward despite past criticisms.

As Musk continues to break new ground, the implications of AI influencing prediction markets are drawing the attention of regulators. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has yet to comment on how Grok’s involvement may affect market operations. With the 2024 presidential election approaching, the stakes are higher than ever.

In a promotional video for the partnership, Grok analyzed market odds on whether Musk would launch the America Party in 2024, underscoring the intertwining of technology and politics. The blending of AI and prediction markets is set to create a new landscape where financial stakes may redefine our understanding of forecasting.

As this news develops, keep an eye on how this partnership evolves and the potential regulatory responses that may follow. With Musk at the helm of innovation, the future of prediction markets is more uncertain—and exciting—than ever.

Stay tuned for further updates as this story unfolds, and consider the implications of financial predictions on real-world events. Share your thoughts on social media—how do you see this impacting the future?

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