AI PCs Set to Dominate Global Market by 2029, Reports Indicate
The global personal computer market is poised for a significant transformation as AI-capable PCs are projected to comprise nearly one-third of all shipments by the end of 2025. According to new figures from Gartner, approximately 77.8 million units of AI PCs are expected to be shipped within the next two years. This trend reflects a growing demand for technology that integrates artificial intelligence, with predictions indicating that AI PCs will become the standard by 2029.
The market for AI PCs is gaining momentum despite some temporary challenges, including tariffs imposed by the United States. Ranjit Atwal, a Senior Director Analyst at Gartner, noted that while adoption may have slowed due to geopolitical factors, businesses are likely to invest in AI PCs to prepare for the increasing integration of AI technologies. He stated, “Users will invest in AI PCs to ensure they are prepared for the growing integration of AI at the edge.”
Market Growth and Trends
Gartner’s analysis reveals that AI PCs will capture a 55% market share in the upcoming year, equating to roughly 143 million units. This surge in popularity is evident as AI PCs have already doubled their market share from 15.6% in 2024 to 31% by 2025. Notably, laptops are leading the charge, with AI-equipped models boasting more than double the market share compared to their desktop counterparts.
While the market for AI PCs is expanding, experts caution that the effects of evolving tariff policies from the Trump administration continue to introduce uncertainties within global supply chains. Ben Yeh, Principal Analyst at Canalys, stated, “The Trump administration’s evolving tariff policies continue to reshape global PC supply chains while casting significant uncertainty over market recovery.”
Future Developments and Consumer Access
Recent research from Canalys indicates that by the fourth quarter of 2024, AI-capable PCs had achieved a 23% market share, a notable increase from the 17% full-year average. This adoption has been facilitated by advancements in technology, allowing earlier iterations of AI PCs, such as Apple’s M-series computers, to become more accessible to consumers. The age of these devices has contributed to a drop in prices, making powerful machinery available to a broader audience.
Looking ahead, Gartner predicts that by the end of 2026, multiple small language models will be able to run locally on AI PCs, a significant leap from having no such capability in 2023. This development could further enhance the functionality and appeal of AI-capable PCs, encouraging more users to transition to this advanced technology.
As the market adjusts and evolves, businesses and consumers alike may find this to be an opportune moment to consider upgrading their devices. With prices decreasing and technological capabilities expanding, the landscape for personal computing is set to change dramatically in the coming years.
