1 July, 2025
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Salisbury, North Carolina—Enid Rodriguez knows firsthand the transformative power of Medicaid. At 51, she has spent a lifetime working, first with at-risk children and now in a small electrical business she runs with her husband. Despite her efforts, Rodriguez has never earned enough to afford health insurance premiums, a critical issue given her lifelong health challenges.

Born prematurely in Puerto Rico, Rodriguez faced severe asthma, chronic chest, and gastric issues, compounded by a hip injury. Her salvation came in late 2023 when North Carolina expanded its Medicaid program to include individuals like her, earning below or just above the poverty line. This expansion allowed her access to specialists who diagnosed her chest pains as a gastrointestinal condition, not a heart issue, and provided her with necessary physical therapy and weight-loss medication.

“Medicaid has literally been a lifesaver,” Rodriguez shared, her voice tinged with anxiety over potential cuts in the Republican-backed One Big Beautiful Bill, which could strip her of coverage. “I wouldn’t be able to see the cardiologist, the gastroenterologist, the weight-loss specialist,” she lamented.

Potential Impact of the Proposed Medicaid Cuts

The legislation, championed by Donald Trump and pushed by Republicans, aims to slash Medicaid funding by nearly $1 trillion over the next decade. This could involve “work requirements” and financing changes that may reduce federal contributions. The Senate’s version of the bill differs from the House’s, with some House members expressing opposition. However, the Republican desire to downsize Medicaid, coupled with tax cuts, may override dissent.

Polls indicate public disapproval of the bill, with Americans wary of changes to Medicaid. Despite assurances from Trump and allies that the program is being “strengthened,” the Congressional Budget Office projects nearly 12 million could lose insurance if the Senate bill becomes law. Academic studies corroborate that losing Medicaid often leads to missed medical care, increased illness, and premature death.

North Carolina’s Journey to Medicaid Expansion

Initially, North Carolina, led by Republicans, resisted Obamacare’s Medicaid expansion. However, persistent advocacy and a supportive Democratic governor, Roy Cooper, led to bipartisan support for expansion in 2023. The program now covers over 600,000 people, significantly reducing the uninsured rate and providing new revenue to healthcare providers serving low-income populations.

Blue Ridge Health, for instance, saw a drop in uninsured patients from half to a third, enabling them to offer services like pediatric dentistry and behavioral health. This increased capacity proved crucial during Hurricane Helene, as noted by Richard Hudspeth, the system’s director.

The Risks of Medicaid Rollback

Despite the benefits of expansion, the proposed cuts could unravel these gains. North Carolina’s expansion law includes provisions to end the program if federal contributions decrease or state spending increases, as could happen under the GOP bill. This uncertainty threatens to leave hundreds of thousands uninsured.

The bill’s work requirements, intended to ensure only the able-bodied receive aid, pose additional challenges. Critics argue these requirements could burden low-income workers and overstretched agencies, potentially excluding those with disabilities not recognized by Social Security.

“Disability is like a black hole,” explained Kate Daley of Down Home NC, highlighting the arduous process to qualify for disability insurance.

Broader Implications and Future Outlook

The potential rollback of Medicaid expansion in North Carolina could have widespread repercussions, affecting healthcare providers and the communities they serve. CommWell Health, for example, might scale back its new facility if funding decreases, impacting both patient care and local employment.

Even some Republicans, like Senator Thom Tillis, express concern over the cuts’ impact on North Carolina, though they remain open to substantial reductions. The situation in North Carolina reflects a broader national issue, with potential consequences for all fifty states.

As the debate continues, the fate of Medicaid and those who rely on it hangs in the balance. The outcome will not only affect individuals like Rodriguez but also the healthcare infrastructure supporting them.